Articles | April 2, 2020

Coronavirus Stimulus How Does It Compare to That of 2008?

In response to the negative effects of the recent global coronavirus outbreak on the U.S. economy, the U.S. government and the Federal Reserve have implemented a number of sweeping new stimulus measures.

Coronavirus Stimulus 2008 compared

The stimulus undertaken for the current situation is different from — and much more extensive than — the response to the 2008 financial crisis.

Stimulus Measures for the Current Crisis

On March 27, Congress approved a $2.2 trillion package for economic stabilization amid the 2020 coronavirus outbreak. It allocates just over $300 billion for payouts to individuals and families. The package provides for a one-time payout of $1200 to individuals making up to $75,000 or $2,400 to couples making up to $150,000. It also adds $500 for each dependent child 16 or under.

The payouts decrease by five dollars for every $100 above those thresholds, and completely drops off for individuals making more than $99,000, heads of household with one child with incomes of more than $146,500, and for couples with no children with incomes of more than $198,000.

In addition, the stimulus package allocates $250 billion to offer greater benefits for the unemployed — an extra $600 per week for four months, in addition to state benefits.

The package also includes a $500 billion lending program. Most of this money will go toward backstopping losses in lending facilities established by the Federal Reserve.

This program also will allow the government to potentially take equity stakes in distressed companies. It will also aid several aviation-related industries, including passenger and cargo airlines, as well as “businesses critical to maintaining national security.”

Small businesses, which have been hard hit already in this economic downturn, will receive $349 billion. This money is meant for payroll, rent or utilities and will ultimately change to grants that don’t need to be repaid. There is $340 billion in supplemental spending, which includes $117 billion for hospitals.

In addition, it includes $221 billion for a variety of tax benefits for businesses, including deferring payroll tax for the rest of the year. State and local governments will receive $150 billion in direct aid.

This new stimulus package comes in addition to other measures recently approved by Congress and the White House. They include $8.3 billion for extra funding for the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and other government agencies, coronavirus test availability and loan subsidies for small businesses.

Another stimulus measure enacted on March 18 allocated $100 billion for tax credits for employers offering paid sick leave, as well as further unemployment benefits and food assistance.

The Fed’s Stimulus in 2020

Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is making its own independent stimulus measures. It said on March 15 that it would drop the Fed funds rate to zero. The Fed also said it would restart quantitative easing, and that it make at least $700 billion in asset purchases.

The purchases would break down between $500 billion in Treasuries and $200 billion in agency mortgage-backed securities. Then on March 23, the Fed expanded on this effort, saying that there would not be limits to its bond-buying program and that it would also start buying commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) as well as corporate debt.

 It also would launch three new lending facilities, including two to support corporate credit markets and one to lend money to investors backed by consumer debt and credit card loans.

In addition to these moves, the Fed is also providing a lending facility to attempt to unclog the market for commercial paper. It will also help money market funds raise cash to meet redemptions.

Bailouts and Stimulus after the 2008 Financial Crisis

Bailouts and fiscal stimulus after the 2008 financial crisis had different targets and were smaller than those of today.  

The 2008 financial crisis was rooted in the financial system, and the government’s bailouts and stimulus initially targeted financial firms.

Back then, the US government implemented the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), which was budgeted at around $700 billion. TARP money was used for bailouts of the major banks and of automakers, which were struggling with increased fuel prices as well as 2008’s economic downturn.

Later, the U.S. government also designated an additional $200 billion to bail out mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Then in 2009, stimulus in the form of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) was implemented, costing about $800 billion.

That money went to states and localities, safety net programs such as food stamps, funding multi-year construction and investment projects, and providing temporary tax relief to individuals and businesses.

In addition, monetary stimulus was put in place by the Federal Reserve. In 2008, the Fed cut its funds rate to zero and started its quantitative easing program. From 2008 to 2015, the Fed’s balance sheet grew from $900 billion to $4.5 trillion through QE.

Then and Now

The TARP program was unpopular with many observers when it was implemented, as it seemed to favor corporate bailouts over help for individuals. The new stimulus measures for the current situation do include more aid for individuals and small businesses.

However, given the predictions of how steep this downturn may be for the U.S. economy, it is also possible that this recent massive and unprecedented amount of stimulus will not be enough, and further measures will be necessary.

The size and reach of the stimulus is much bigger this time around because the economic effects of this pandemic could be so far-reaching.

Segal Marco Advisors provides consulting advice on asset allocation, investment strategy, manager searches, performance measurement and related issues. The information and opinions herein provided by third parties have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Segal Marco Advisors’ R2 Blog and the data and analysis herein is intended for general education only and not as investment advice. It is not intended for use as a basis for investment decisions, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the needs of any particular investor. Please contact Segal Marco Advisors or another qualified investment professional for advice regarding the evaluation of any specific information, opinion, advice, or other content. Of course, on all matters involving legal interpretations and regulatory issues, investors should consult legal counsel.

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