Archived Insight | July 21, 2020
Since the beginning of 2020 we have been through pretty turbulent times in the U.S. equity market. The impacts of the pandemic were reflected in dramatic market declines, which were followed by substantial recovery as investors began to look past the near term economic damage.
Net, the S&P 500 year-to-date as of this writing has declined only about -1.6 percent, which certainly isn’t calamitous.
Yet as the first chart shows, this doesn’t tell the entire story as six stocks, which now represent about 20 percent of the capitalization of that index, actually performed quite well over this time period.
These companies especially benefited in helping their customers survive a lockdown.
Looking at the impact of just these six companies on the entire market over this period, we note below that were it not for their favorable appreciation the market would have been down nearly -7 percent versus the actual result of -1.6 percent. This is a much bleaker picture.
Finally, we took a look at the impact of those companies upon valuations as measured by the price-earnings ratio (P/E). While by this single numeric representation of cheapness the market is quite expensive, removing those six firms reduced the P/E measure by 15%. Still expensive, but certainly much less so.
There are a few ways to look at this data –
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