Market Projections | February 23, 2021

Q1 2021 Investment Outlook: The Recycled Global Economy

As we start 2021, there’s a lot of discussion among market observers regarding the current stage of the economic cycle. Are we in the early stages of recovery after the pandemic or back to the late-stage environment we experienced in late 2019?

When the Segal Marco Advisors Investment Committee sat down recently to answer this question, our conclusion was that this wasn’t a terribly relevant construct in the face of the overarching characteristics that are embedded in the global economic picture.

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Most of these features were true three years ago, one year ago, and appear to be accurate today. In effect, we believe we are reliving the pre-pandemic environment in a recycle of the reduced-growth environment that will be temporarily reenergized by stimulus and, we hope, some pent-up demand for spending, but still relegated to a long-term period of slow growth across the developed world.

What does the Outlook cover?

In the Q1 2021 Investment Outlook you'll see our projected trends for:

  • The U.S.
  • Canada
  • The Eurozone
  • The UK
  • Japan 
  • China and other emerging markets

We cover:

  • GDP growth
  • Inflation
  • Policy rate
  • Currency
  • Equity valuations

We also look at trends in asset classes including equities and fixed income. 

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Segal Marco Advisors provides consulting advice on asset allocation, investment strategy, manager searches, performance measurement and related issues. The information and opinions herein provided by third parties have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. This article and the data and analysis herein is intended for general education only and not as investment advice. It is not intended for use as a basis for investment decisions, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the needs of any particular investor. Please contact Segal Marco Advisors or another qualified investment professional for advice regarding the evaluation of any specific information, opinion, advice, or other content. Of course, on all matters involving legal interpretations and regulatory issues, investors should consult legal counsel.

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